Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chalfont St Peter vs Bury Town

England England

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bury Town in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chalfont St Peter
15%
Draws
85%
Bury Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bury Town have won more games recently than Chalfont St Peter.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bury Town taking it.
  • Bury Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bury Town, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chalfont St Peter Clean Sheet 16%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chalfont St Peter Bury Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.37 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2017 FA Trophy
Chalfont St Peter vs Bury Town
0:3
Oct 28, 2017 FA Trophy
Bury Town vs Chalfont St Peter
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalfont St Peter 11 / 100
Bury Town 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chalfont St Peter Bury Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chalfont St Peter scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Bury Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bury Town's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bury Town
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalfont St Peter

(Home)
25 Sept
Ashford United
2 : 1
Chalfont St Peter
26 Sept
Hythe
3 : 0
Chalfont St Peter
22 Sept
Chalfont St Peter
2 : 3
Farnborough
28 Sept
Chalfont St Peter
0 : 1
Whitstable Town
07 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 0
Chalfont St Peter
Page 1 of 6

Bury Town

(Away)
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0
Hitchin
19 Sept
Gorleston
3 : 4
Bury Town
12 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 0
Bury Town
05 Sept
London Lions
2 : 4
Bury Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Lancaster -
TBD -
Skelmersdale 1
Mossley AFC 3
Bedworth United 1
Gresley 0
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Stratford -
Newcastle Town 3
Soham 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Alvechurch 2
Belper Town 1
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Cambridge City -
Redditch -
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Coalville Town -
Warrington Town -
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Brighouse Town 2
Bamber Bridge 4
Frickley 3
Sheffield FC 0
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Ashton United -
Altrincham -
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Colne 0
Clitheroe 3
Shaw Lane -
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Colwyn Bay 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Prescot Cables 3
Trafford 1
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Stalybridge -
Nantwich -
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Rushall -
Glossop North End 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
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Matlock -
Kettering -
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Lincoln Utd. 1
Leek Town 4
Stamford 3
Loughborough Dynamo 0
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Sutton Coldfield Town -
Ossett Town 3
Goole 0
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Market Drayton 0
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Spalding United -
Witton Albion -
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Workington -
Hednesford -
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Mickleover -
Buxton -
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Hyde 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Stocksbridge 1
Radcliffe 1
Kendal 2
Whitby -
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Marine -
Neots -
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Romulus 0
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 3
Peterborough Sports 0
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Stourbridge -
Barwell -
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Carlton Town -
King’s Lynn -
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Mildenhall -
Stafford -
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St Ives Town -
Farsley -
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Scarborough Athletic 2
South Shields 5
Chesham -
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Barton 1
Hayes & Yeading 3
Cheshunt 3
Herne Bay 0
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Hitchin -
Taunton Town 3
AFC Totton 2
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Merthyr Town -
Barking 3
Chipstead 2
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Beaconsfield Town -
Brentwood 10
South Park 5
VCD Athletic 0
Bedford 1
Arlesey -
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Needham Market -
Hereford -
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Weymouth -
FC Witham Town -
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Tilbury 0
Potters 4
Corinthian-Casuals 2
AFC Dunstable 0
Guernsey FC -
Hertford Town -
Biggleswade Town -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Lewes 4
East Grinstead Town 2
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Dunstable Town -
Stortford -
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Greenwich Borough 0
Hanwell Town 1
Dorchester -
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Basingstoke -
Tonbridge -
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Carshalton 0
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury Vale 4
Molesey 3
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Harlow -
Waltham Abbey 2
Faversham 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Hendon -
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Kings Langley -
Aveley 5
Marlow 3
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Burgess Hill -
Ashford Town 4
Uxbridge 1
Romford 0
Hastings 1
Kingstonian -
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Thurrock -
Maldon & Tiptree 5
Northwood 2
Canvey Island 0
Walton Casuals 3
Kidlington 3
Winchester City 1
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Slough Town -
Sittingbourne 3
Ashford United 0
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Merstham -
Harrow Borough -
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Whyteleafe 0
Haringey Borough 3
Thamesmead 3
Hornchurch 2
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Brightlingsea -
Sudbury 4
Aylesbury United 3
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Metropolitan Police -
Royston Town -
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Enfield Town -
Hythe 1
Kempston 0
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Leatherhead -
Hartley Wintney 1
Slimbridge 0
Barnstaple Town 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bristol Manor Farm 4
Cinderford Town 1
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Gosport Borough -
Farnborough -
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Bishops Cleeve 0
Larkhall 1
Tiverton -
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Banbury -
Paulton Rovers 3
Salisbury 2
Evesham 2
Cirencester 3
Frome Town -
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Didcot 0
Shortwood 1
Margate -
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Staines -
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Dereham 3
Shoreham 1
Egham Town 7
Billericay -
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Tooting & Mitcham -
Bury Town 5
Ramsgate 3
Phoenix Sports 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Dorking Wanderers -
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Ware -
Leiston -
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Folkestone -
Moneyfields 4
Bideford 2
Fleet Town 2
Yate 3
Cray Wanderers 8
Horsham FC 0
Norwich Utd 3
Grays 4
Thame United 1
Mangotsfield 0
North Leigh 1
Wimborne 3
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Semi-finals
Lancaster 1
Mossley AFC 0
Bedworth United 1
Stratford 2
Newcastle Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 4
Halesowen 0
Grantham Town 1
Alvechurch 2
Cambridge City 0
Redditch 0
Coalville Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Frickley 1
Ashton United 4
Altrincham 3
Clitheroe 0
Shaw Lane 3
Ramsbottom Utd 6
Prescot Cables 1
Stalybridge 5
Nantwich 0
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 3
Matlock 2
Kettering 2
Leek Town 3
Stamford 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Spalding United 1
Witton Albion 0
Workington 4
Hednesford 1
Mickleover 0
Buxton 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Kendal 2
Whitby 1
Marine 3
Neots 3
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Stourbridge 1
Barwell 1
Carlton Town 0
King’s Lynn 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 6
St Ives Town 0
Farsley 4
South Shields 5
Chesham 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Cheshunt 0
Hitchin 5
Taunton Town 2
Merthyr Town 1
Barking 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 4
Bedford 2
Arlesey 1
Needham Market 3
Hereford 4
Weymouth 1
FC Witham Town 0
Potters 3
Corinthian-Casuals 3
Hertford Town 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Lewes 4
Dunstable Town 1
Stortford 4
Hanwell Town 0
Dorchester 2
Basingstoke 1
Tonbridge 4
Heybridge 5
Aylesbury Vale 2
Harlow 4
Waltham Abbey 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Hendon 3
Kings Langley 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford Town 4
Hastings 3
Kingstonian 7
Thurrock 4
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Walton Casuals 0
Kidlington 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 3
Merstham 1
Harrow Borough 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 3
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Royston Town 2
Enfield Town 0
Hythe 0
Leatherhead 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Gosport Borough 1
Farnborough 3
Larkhall 1
Tiverton 4
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 6
Cirencester 2
Frome Town 0
Shortwood 2
Margate 3
Staines 0
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Egham Town 4
Billericay 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bury Town 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Dorking Wanderers 5
Ware 0
Leiston 3
Folkestone 2
Moneyfields 1
Yate 0
Cray Wanderers 4
Grays 2
Thame United 5
Wimborne 0
Lowestoft 0
Worthing FC 3
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Final
Lancaster 3
Stratford 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Grantham Town 2
Alvechurch 1
Coalville Town 5
Warrington Town 4
Ashton United 3
Altrincham 4
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Stalybridge 3
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 4
Leek Town 3
Stamford 1
Droylsden 2
Chasetown 1
Workington 3
Hednesford 2
Cleethorpes 3
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 5
Neots 2
Stourbridge 3
Barwell 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 3
South Shields 1
Chesham 3
Hitchin 1
Taunton Town 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 3
Needham Market 1
Hereford 2
Potters 1
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
Lewes 2
Stortford 0
Dorchester 1
Heybridge 2
Harlow 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hendon 3
Burgess Hill 0
Ashford Town 2
Kingstonian 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 0
Metropolitan Police 1
Royston Town 3
Leatherhead 2
Hartley Wintney 3
Gosport Borough 0
Farnborough 6
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 1
Shortwood 2
Margate 2
Egham Town 0
Billericay 6
Bury Town 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
Leiston 1
Moneyfields 2
Cray Wanderers 5
Thame United 1
Worthing FC 0
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