Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cham vs Aschaffenburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Oberliga Bayern Nord matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cham
15%
Draws
27%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aschaffenburg haven't matched Cham's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cham Clean Sheet 14%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Aschaffenburg
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 84 / 100
Aschaffenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Cham has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aschaffenburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Aschaffenburg
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 1
Nordlingen
29 Aug
Wurzburger FV
2 : 3
Cham
21 Aug
Cham
4 : 1
Aschaffenburg
18 Aug
Regensburg II
0 : 2
Cham
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Aschaffenburg

(Away)
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
09 Sept
Grossbardorf
3 : 1
Aschaffenburg
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6
Aschaffenburg
28 Aug
Aschaffenburg
3 : 0
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 11 9 1 1 27:8 28
2 Gebenbach 11 8 1 2 21:11 25
3 Bamberg 11 7 2 2 21:8 23
4 Wurzburger FV 10 6 1 3 21:14 19
5 Bayern Hof 10 5 3 2 21:15 18
6 Regensburg II 10 5 2 3 21:17 17
7 TSV Kornburg 11 4 5 2 17:12 17
8 Fortuna Regensburg 10 5 1 4 24:17 16
9 Aschaffenburg 11 5 1 5 22:17 16
10 Stadeln 10 3 4 3 14:16 13
11 Neudrossenfeld 11 4 0 7 12:19 12
12 Weiden 11 3 2 6 18:25 11
13 Grossbardorf 11 3 1 7 12:23 10
14 Ingolstadt II 10 2 3 5 18:23 9
15 Nordlingen 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 DJK Ammerthal 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
17 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 10 2 2 6 10:24 8
18 ASV Neumarkt 10 1 2 7 9:20 5
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)