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Cham vs Aschaffenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham Logo

Cham

4 - 1
FT
Aschaffenburg Logo

Aschaffenburg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Oberliga Bayern Nord matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cham
30%
Draws
23%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aschaffenburg haven't matched Cham's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cham Clean Sheet 20%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Aschaffenburg
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 85 / 100
Aschaffenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Aschaffenburg has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Cham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Aschaffenburg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
30 Oct
TSV Kornburg
3 : 0
Cham
23 Oct
Cham
5 : 1
ASV Neumarkt
18 Oct
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 2
Cham
09 Oct
Cham
2 : 1
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
03 Oct
Grossbardorf
0 : 1
Cham
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Aschaffenburg

(Away)
31 Oct
Regensburg II
5 : 0
Aschaffenburg
23 Oct
Aschaffenburg
0 : 0
Gebenbach
17 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
10 Oct
Aschaffenburg
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 17 14 1 2 39:13 43
2 Wurzburger FV 17 9 5 3 35:22 32
3 Bayern Hof 17 9 5 3 41:28 32
4 TSV Kornburg 16 8 6 2 31:14 30
5 Regensburg II 17 8 5 4 42:27 29
6 Bamberg 16 8 4 4 29:18 28
7 Gebenbach 17 8 4 5 27:26 28
8 Stadeln 17 6 6 5 22:26 24
9 Aschaffenburg 17 6 5 6 27:26 23
10 Fortuna Regensburg 17 6 4 7 35:28 22
11 Grossbardorf 17 7 1 9 26:31 22
12 Neudrossenfeld 17 6 2 9 25:30 20
13 Weiden 17 4 6 7 28:36 18
14 Ingolstadt II 17 4 4 9 26:36 16
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 17 3 6 8 19:33 15
16 DJK Ammerthal 17 4 3 10 20:36 15
17 Nordlingen 17 3 5 9 18:37 14
18 ASV Neumarkt 17 1 4 12 12:35 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)