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Cham vs ASV Neumarkt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Cham and ASV Neumarkt finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Cham
30%
Draws
14%
ASV Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cham come out ahead of ASV Neumarkt on wins alone.
  • Cham are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cham Clean Sheet 20%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham ASV Neumarkt
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.72 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs ASV Neumarkt
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Cham
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs ASV Neumarkt
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Cham
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Cham
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 76 / 100
ASV Neumarkt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham ASV Neumarkt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

ASV Neumarkt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Cham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS ASV Neumarkt
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
14 Aug
Cham
0 : 1
Gebenbach
07 Aug
Stadeln
0 : 3
Cham
31 Jul
Cham
2 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
24 Jul
Weiden
0 : 1
Cham
18 Jul
Cham
3 : 0
Bayern Hof
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ASV Neumarkt

(Away)
15 Aug
ASV Neumarkt
3 : 3
Weiden
08 Aug
Bayern Hof
1 : 1
ASV Neumarkt
31 Jul
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
TSV Kornburg
25 Jul
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
18 Jul
Eltersdorf
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)