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Cham vs ASV Neumarkt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cham host ASV Neumarkt in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Cham have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against ASV Neumarkt's 1.28 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Cham have won 2 to ASV Neumarkt's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 0.75) point toward Cham. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Cham
20%
Draws
19%
ASV Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Cham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cham a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cham Clean Sheet 20%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham ASV Neumarkt
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs ASV Neumarkt
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Cham
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs ASV Neumarkt
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Cham
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Cham
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 85 / 100
ASV Neumarkt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham ASV Neumarkt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cham stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ASV Neumarkt has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS ASV Neumarkt
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
09 Oct
Cham
2 : 1
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
03 Oct
Grossbardorf
0 : 1
Cham
26 Sept
Bamberg
0 : 2
Cham
18 Sept
Cham
3 : 0
Neudrossenfeld
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
Page 1 of 6

ASV Neumarkt

(Away)
09 Oct
Neudrossenfeld
4 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
03 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
3 Gebenbach 14 8 2 4 23:17 26
4 Bamberg 14 7 4 3 24:13 25
5 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
6 Bayern Hof 14 6 5 3 31:23 23
7 Regensburg II 14 6 5 3 28:22 23
8 Aschaffenburg 14 6 3 5 26:20 21
9 Fortuna Regensburg 14 6 3 5 31:22 21
10 Stadeln 14 5 5 4 17:20 20
11 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
12 DJK Ammerthal 14 4 3 7 18:27 15
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 14 3 4 7 21:30 13
15 Grossbardorf 14 4 1 9 16:26 13
16 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
17 Nordlingen 14 2 4 8 14:31 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)