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Cham vs Coburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Cham Logo

Cham

1 - 1
FT
Coburg Logo

Coburg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Cham and Coburg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Cham
15%
Draws
7%
Coburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cham come out ahead of Coburg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cham a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cham Clean Sheet 68%
Coburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Coburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.72 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Coburg
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Cham
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Cham
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Coburg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 95 / 100
Coburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Coburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Coburg let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Coburg
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
07 Aug
Stadeln
0 : 3
Cham
31 Jul
Cham
2 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
24 Jul
Weiden
0 : 1
Cham
18 Jul
Cham
3 : 0
Bayern Hof
02 Jun
Furth II
1 : 0
Cham
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Coburg

(Away)
11 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
2 : 2
Coburg
27 Jun
Coburg
0 : 2
Munchberg
25 May
Coburg
0 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
21 May
Pfaffenhofen
2 : 1
Coburg
16 May
Coburg
2 : 4
ASV Neumarkt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)