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Cham vs Luzern II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cham host Luzern II in the Promotion League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Luzern II have shipped 2.47 goals a game lately, while Cham have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Cham slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.13) point toward Cham. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cham
15%
Draws
21%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cham's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Cham Clean Sheet 20%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Luzern II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.87 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Cham
3:3
Oct 4, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Luzern II
3:1
May 24, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Cham
1:3
Nov 17, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Luzern II
3:4
Apr 20, 2024 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Cham
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 85 / 100
Luzern II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Luzern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Luzern II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Luzern II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
10 Oct
Young Boys II
1 : 3
Cham
03 Oct
Cham
2 : 4
Bulle
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Cham
2 : 1
Bruhl SG
12 Sept
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 0
Cham
Page 1 of 6

Luzern II

(Away)
10 Oct
Luzern II
0 : 8
Schaffhausen
03 Oct
Basel II
3 : 2
Luzern II
26 Sept
Luzern II
2 : 3
Amical Saint-Prex
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 11 8 2 1 25:12 26
2 Schaffhausen 11 8 1 2 29:13 25
3 Cham 11 7 1 3 19:14 22
4 Bulle 11 6 3 2 24:16 21
5 Paradiso 11 6 2 3 22:11 20
6 Young Fellows Juventus 11 6 1 4 16:14 19
7 Grand-Saconnex 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
8 Basel II 11 5 1 5 21:21 16
9 Amical Saint-Prex 11 5 1 5 16:22 16
10 FC Kreuzlingen 11 4 3 4 16:15 15
11 Zurich II 11 4 3 4 20:20 15
12 Breitenrain 11 4 3 4 15:17 15
13 Bruhl SG 11 4 2 5 13:15 14
14 Young Boys II 11 3 2 6 21:30 11
15 Lugano II 11 3 0 8 17:25 9
16 Bavois 11 2 2 7 10:14 8
17 Luzern II 11 2 1 8 15:27 7
18 Bellinzona 11 1 2 8 7:24 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)