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Chamalieres vs Toulouse II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chamalieres play Toulouse II in the National 2 - Group A 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chamalieres averaged 1 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Toulouse II averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Chamalieres won 1, Toulouse II won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 10, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Chamalieres and 1.44 for Toulouse II. This points to a Chamalieres double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chamalieres
35%
Draws
14%
Toulouse II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chamalieres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Chamalieres picked up more points recently compared to Toulouse II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Chamalieres Clean Sheet 16%
Toulouse II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chamalieres Toulouse II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 National 2 - Group A
Chamalieres vs Toulouse II
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 National 2 - Group A
Toulouse II vs Chamalieres
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chamalieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouvier K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Toulouse II Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chamalieres 49 / 100
Toulouse II 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chamalieres Toulouse II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chamalieres or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chamalieres attacking → ← attacking Toulouse II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chamalieres scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Toulouse II let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chamalieres went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Toulouse II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 13
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aubagne FC261410233:1752
2Le Puy-en-Velay261210439:2446
3RC Grasse261012431:2142
4Jura Sud261011534:2341
5Cannes26913441:2140
6Hyeres26910737:2237
7Frejus Saint Raphael26812625:1936
8Toulon2698930:2935
9Andrezieux26971026:2834
10Ales26781123:3929
11Thonon-Evian26771227:3528
12Chamalieres265111026:4026
13Bourgoin Jallieu26491324:4321
14Toulouse II26181724:5911