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Chambly vs Colmar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Paye A.
47' Event
Delpech L.
70'
Goncalves E.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group A game between Chambly and Colmar finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chambly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chambly
20%
Draws
29%
Colmar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chambly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chambly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chambly are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Chambly Clean Sheet 20%
Colmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chambly Colmar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chambly vs Colmar
4:0
May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Chambly vs Colmar
6:0
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Colmar vs Chambly
0:1
Jun 3, 2016 Ligue 3
Chambly vs Colmar
1:2
Aug 7, 2015 Ligue 3
Colmar vs Chambly
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chambly Compare

Top Goalscorer Paye A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delpech L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Colmar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chambly 85 / 100
Colmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chambly Colmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chambly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Colmar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Chambly stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Chambly scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Chambly VS Colmar
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chambly

(Home)
03 Oct
Feignies-Aulnoye
1 : 0
Chambly
19 Sept
Chambly
4 : 0
Colmar
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
06 Sept
Chambly
2 : 1
Borgo
29 Aug
Racing Club de France
1 : 2
Chambly
Page 1 of 7

Colmar

(Away)
03 Oct
Colmar
0 : 1
Racing Club de France
19 Sept
Chambly
4 : 0
Colmar
12 Sept
Colmar
2 : 2
USLPV
05 Sept
Saint-Pryve
1 : 1
Colmar
29 Aug
Colmar
1 : 0
Biesheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Furiani Agliani 6 4 2 0 14:4 14
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
3 Racing Club de France 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
5 Chambly 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
6 Creteil 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
7 Dieppe 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
8 Biesheim 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
9 Haguenau 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
10 Montlouis 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
11 Epinal 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
12 USLPV 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
13 Borgo 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Colmar 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
15 Saint-Pryve 6 0 3 3 5:8 3
16 Chantilly 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)