Sport Picks
Changchun Yatai vs Dingnan Ganlian - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Jiang Zilei In: Wu Junjie
Out: Jiang Zilei
43'
43'
Zhu Jiaxuan
57'
57'
Salazar J.
Assist: Omoijuanfo O.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Changchun Yatai and Dingnan Ganlian finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Changchun Yatai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Changchun Yatai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Changchun Yatai come out ahead of Dingnan Ganlian on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 20%
Dingnan Ganlian Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Changchun Yatai | Dingnan Ganlian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Dingnan Ganlian
1:0
May 9, 2026 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Changchun Yatai
2:3
Sep 30, 2020 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Changchun Yatai
1:1
Sep 12, 2020 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Dingnan Ganlian
2:1
Nov 2, 2019 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Changchun Yatai
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Changchun Yatai Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Dingnan Ganlian Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Changchun Yatai 31 / 100
Dingnan Ganlian 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Changchun Yatai Dingnan Ganlian
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Changchun Yatai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dingnan Ganlian let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Changchun Yatai's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Changchun Yatai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Changchun Yatai VS Dingnan Ganlian
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Changchun Yatai
(Home) 10 Oct
Dalian Kun City
1 : 1 Changchun Yatai
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0 Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1 Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0 Ningbo Professional
23 Aug
Changchun Yatai
6 : 0 Foshan Nanshi
02 Aug
Changchun Yatai
2 : 2 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 3
Dingnan Ganlian
(Away) 06 Oct
Dingnan Ganlian
0 : 0 Meizhou Hakka
19 Sept
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 1 Foshan Nanshi
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4 Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
16 Aug
Nanjing City
1 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
01 Aug
Nantong Zhiyun
5 : 1 Dingnan Ganlian
26 Jul
Guangxi Hengchen
4 : 4 Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34:20 | 45 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40:27 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:29 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:27 | 39 |
| 6 | Wuxi Wugou | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 7 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23:25 | 35 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Dalian Kun City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:38 | 30 |
| 11 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35:46 | 24 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 25:53 | 22 |
| 15 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21:37 | 21 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | 16 |
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)
