Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai host Nanjing City in the League One. This one's hard to separate. Nanjing City have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Changchun Yatai have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Changchun Yatai slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.50) point toward Nanjing City. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Changchun Yatai
39%
Draws
31%
Nanjing City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nanjing City have won more games recently than Changchun Yatai.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 16%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Nanjing City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai
2:1
Jun 22, 2023 FA Cup
Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 30 / 100
Nanjing City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Nanjing City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Changchun Yatai scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Nanjing City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Changchun Yatai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Nanjing City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
17 Jul
Changchun Yatai
1 : 5
Wuxi Wugou
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Changchun Yatai
27 Jun
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
13 Jun
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Dalian Kun City
30 May
Yanbian Longding
2 : 2
Changchun Yatai
Page 1 of 6

Nanjing City

(Away)
18 Jul
Nanjing City
0 : 1
Guangdong GZ-Power
11 Jul
Dalian Kun City
2 : 0
Nanjing City
05 Jul
Nanjing City
3 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
27 Jun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2 : 1
Nanjing City
13 Jun
Nanjing City
1 : 2
Ningbo Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power15103228:1433
2Shenzhen Juniors1575326:1826
3Nantong Zhiyun1475214:1026
4Guangxi Hengchen1474322:1325
5Yanbian Longding1567221:1225
6Ningbo Professional1583420:1624
7Wuxi Wugou1455426:1720
8Shaanxi Union1454519:1219
9Nanjing City1553714:1618
10Dingnan Ganlian1538421:2517
11Dalian Kun City1444619:2216
12Changchun Yatai1461721:2715
13Meizhou Hakka1552815:2914
14Shijiazhuang Gongfu152497:1810
15Foshan Nanshi1524916:2910
16Suzhou Dongwu1524911:227
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)