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Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Dong Honglin
11' Event
Salazar J.
Assist: Omoijuanfo O.
25'
Fan Houtai

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changchun Yatai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Changchun Yatai
30%
Draws
0%
Nanjing City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Changchun Yatai have won more games recently than Nanjing City.
  • Win probability leans Changchun Yatai's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Changchun Yatai have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 68%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Nanjing City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai
2:1
Jun 22, 2023 FA Cup
Nanjing City vs Changchun Yatai
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omoijuanfo O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Qurban W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 95 / 100
Nanjing City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Nanjing City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Changchun Yatai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nanjing City has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Nanjing City registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Changchun Yatai scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Nanjing City
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
10 Oct
Dalian Kun City
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 6

Nanjing City

(Away)
07 Oct
Nanjing City
1 : 4
Shaanxi Union
19 Sept
Nanjing City
0 : 3
Wuxi Wugou
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Wuxi Wugou 26 10 6 10 41:31 36
7 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 26 9 8 9 23:25 35
9 Changchun Yatai 26 10 5 11 39:42 31
10 Dalian Kun City 26 7 9 10 31:38 30
11 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 26 7 10 9 30:35 28
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 26 7 4 15 25:53 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)