Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen FC

China China

Super League 2023 Development Area Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai play Shenzhen FC in the Super League 2023. Changchun Yatai are favorites here. Recently, Changchun Yatai averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Shenzhen FC averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Changchun Yatai won 5, Shenzhen FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 29, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Changchun Yatai and 1.31 for Shenzhen FC. This points to a Changchun Yatai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Changchun Yatai
6%
Draws
4%
Shenzhen FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Changchun Yatai has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shenzhen FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Changchun Yatai.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Shenzhen FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Changchun Yatai
0:1
Jun 8, 2023 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen FC
4:1
Dec 10, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Changchun Yatai
0:2
Sep 30, 2022 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen FC
1:0
Dec 29, 2021 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Changchun Yatai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Jinxian
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tan Long
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Shenzhen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 95 / 100
Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Shenzhen FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Shenzhen FC let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Changchun Yatai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shenzhen FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912