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Changwon vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Shin Sang-Hwi
80' Event
Kim Woo-Hong

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Changwon
30%
Draws
58%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Changwon have won more games recently than Chuncheon.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Chuncheon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Changwon Clean Sheet 12%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Chuncheon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Chuncheon
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Changwon
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Changwon
2:4
May 31, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Chuncheon
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Chuncheon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Woo-Hong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Shin Sang-Hwi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 14 / 100
Chuncheon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Chuncheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuncheon let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Changwon's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Changwon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Chuncheon
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5
Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

Chuncheon

(Away)
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 21 15 4 2 32:18 49
2 Pocheon 21 12 6 3 36:19 42
3 Daejeon Korail 21 11 5 5 31:16 38
4 Busan Kyotong 21 10 7 4 36:21 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 21 8 4 9 39:33 28
6 Gangneung 21 7 6 8 20:29 27
7 Chuncheon 21 7 5 9 37:34 26
8 Gyeongju KHNP 20 6 8 6 29:28 26
9 Changwon 20 6 8 6 22:22 26
10 Ulsan Citizen 21 7 4 10 22:24 25
11 Yeoju Citizen 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
12 Mokpo 21 3 9 9 16:34 18
13 Yangpyeong 21 3 8 10 27:41 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 21 1 7 13 21:46 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)