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Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chanthaburi host Nakhon Pathom in the Thai League 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Chanthaburi have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Nakhon Pathom's 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Chanthaburi have won 0 to Nakhon Pathom's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.06) point toward Nakhon Pathom. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chanthaburi
35%
Draws
38%
Nakhon Pathom
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nakhon Pathom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nakhon Pathom come out ahead of Chanthaburi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chanthaburi a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nakhon Pathom have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chanthaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chanthaburi Nakhon Pathom
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.32 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Chanthaburi
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom
1:3
Aug 7, 2010 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Chanthaburi
2:1
Apr 17, 2010 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chanthaburi 42 / 100
Nakhon Pathom 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chanthaburi Nakhon Pathom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chanthaburi's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Nakhon Pathom let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Chanthaburi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chanthaburi VS Nakhon Pathom
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chanthaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3
Chanthaburi
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
05 Sept
Chanthaburi
0 : 1
Khonkaen United
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1
Police Tero
Page 1 of 6

Nakhon Pathom

(Away)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
6 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
7 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
8 Kanchanaburi 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
10 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
12 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
14 Phrae United 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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