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Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chanthaburi host Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Chanthaburi have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Nong Bua Pitchaya's 1.77 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Nong Bua Pitchaya slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back Nong Bua Pitchaya to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chanthaburi
30%
Draws
41%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have won more games recently than Chanthaburi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nong Bua Pitchaya here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chanthaburi Clean Sheet 18%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chanthaburi Nong Bua Pitchaya
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chanthaburi
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chanthaburi
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chanthaburi 32 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chanthaburi Nong Bua Pitchaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chanthaburi found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Nong Bua Pitchaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Chanthaburi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chanthaburi VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chanthaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3
Chanthaburi
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
05 Sept
Chanthaburi
0 : 1
Khonkaen United
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1
Police Tero
Page 1 of 6

Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Away)
19 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 3
Satun FC
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
6 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
7 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
8 Kanchanaburi 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
10 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
12 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
14 Phrae United 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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