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Chantilly vs Montlouis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Boussemart C.
85' Event
Barbier M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chantilly
20%
Draws
64%
Montlouis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montlouis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chantilly haven't matched Montlouis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Montlouis a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Chantilly Clean Sheet 10%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chantilly Montlouis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chantilly vs Montlouis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chantilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Boussemart C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chantilly 26 / 100
Montlouis 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chantilly Montlouis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlouis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chantilly found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Montlouis has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Montlouis registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chantilly VS Montlouis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chantilly

(Home)
06 Nov
Chambly
2 : 1
Chantilly
31 Oct
Chantilly
1 : 1
USLPV
03 Oct
Chantilly
0 : 4
Biesheim
18 Sept
Creteil
3 : 1
Chantilly
12 Sept
Chantilly
0 : 4
Furiani Agliani
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Montlouis

(Away)
31 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 2
Chambly
17 Oct
USLPV
4 : 1
Montlouis
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chambly 9 7 0 2 17:9 21
2 Creteil 8 5 2 1 16:4 17
3 Furiani Agliani 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
4 St. Maur Lusitanos 8 4 4 0 12:7 16
5 Feignies-Aulnoye 8 4 4 0 7:3 16
6 Racing Club de France 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
7 Biesheim 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
8 USLPV 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
9 Dieppe 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Borgo 8 2 2 4 9:11 8
11 Haguenau 8 2 1 5 7:17 7
12 Epinal 8 1 3 4 9:11 6
13 Montlouis 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
14 Colmar 8 1 3 4 5:13 6
15 Saint-Pryve 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
16 Chantilly 8 0 2 6 6:22 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)