Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chantilly vs Montlouis

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Boussemart C.
85' Event
Barbier M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chantilly
35%
Draws
52%
Montlouis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montlouis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Montlouis at 1.41 per game, Chantilly at 1.17.
  • Model gives Montlouis a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Chantilly Clean Sheet 15%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chantilly Montlouis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chantilly vs Montlouis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chantilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Boussemart C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chantilly 11 / 100
Montlouis 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chantilly Montlouis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlouis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chantilly found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Montlouis has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chantilly has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chantilly VS Montlouis
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chantilly

(Home)
12 Sept
Chantilly
0 : 4
Furiani Agliani
05 Sept
Epinal
4 : 1
Chantilly
29 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 3
Haguenau
22 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 1
Montlouis
16 May
Epinal
3 : 2
Chantilly
Page 1 of 6

Montlouis

(Away)
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
22 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 1
Montlouis
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2
Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Maur Lusitanos 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Chambly 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
3 Racing Club de France 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
4 Furiani Agliani 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 Dieppe 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
6 Haguenau 4 2 0 2 5:3 6
7 Feignies-Aulnoye 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Epinal 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
9 Colmar 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Creteil 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Montlouis 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
12 Borgo 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Saint-Pryve 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
14 USLPV 4 0 2 2 6:9 2
15 Biesheim 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
16 Chantilly 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)