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Chapada vs Campo Novo

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Chapada Logo

Chapada

5 - 0
FT
Campo Novo Logo

Campo Novo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Chapada and Campo Novo finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chapada
15%
Draws
0%
Campo Novo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chapada come out ahead of Campo Novo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chapada a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chapada Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapada Campo Novo
Matches Played 20 16
Wins 9 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.8 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.15 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Chapada vs Campo Novo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapada 85 / 100
Campo Novo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapada Campo Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Campo Novo conceded in 94% of 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Campo Novo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chapada found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (20 games).

Scoring Trends

Chapada VS Campo Novo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapada

(Home)
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
04 Feb
Chapada
3 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 4

Campo Novo

(Away)
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)