Sport Picks
Chapada vs Sorriso EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Chapada have averaged 1.81 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Sorriso EC's 2.22 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Chapada have won 1 to Sorriso EC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 31, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.63, favoring Chapada. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sorriso EC haven't matched Chapada's recent run of results.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Chapada taking it.
- Chapada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapada | Sorriso EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 18 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 2.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Chapada remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Chapada scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Sorriso EC let in goals in 67% of their last 18 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
