Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapadao vs Aquidauanense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chapadao
15%
Draws
58%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Chapadao have won more games recently than Aquidauanense.
  • Win probability leans Aquidauanense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 17%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadao Aquidauanense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Chapadao
2:2
Mar 23, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Aquidauanense
1:1
Feb 1, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Chapadao
3:1
Jan 30, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Aquidauanense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadao 15 / 100
Aquidauanense 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadao Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadao's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aquidauanense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Chapadao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquidauanense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapadao

(Home)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
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Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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