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Chapadinha vs Cordino EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Chapadinha Logo

Chapadinha

2 - 1
FT
Cordino EC Logo

Cordino EC

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ronaldo
41' Event
Marcos
52'
Renato
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chapadinha in this Maranhense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapadinha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Chapadinha
35%
Draws
56%
Cordino EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cordino EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Chapadinha haven't matched Cordino EC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 12%
Cordino EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadinha Cordino EC
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Cordino EC
2:1
Jan 17, 2024 Maranhense
Cordino EC vs Chapadinha
0:0
Feb 25, 2023 Maranhense
Cordino EC vs Chapadinha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapadinha Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cordino EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ullisses
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadinha 35 / 100
Cordino EC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadinha Cordino EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cordino EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cordino EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Chapadinha found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (21 games).

Chapadinha went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapadinha VS Cordino EC
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapadinha

(Home)
02 Apr
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Chapadinha
27 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 Mar
Tuntum
5 : 4
Chapadinha
16 Mar
Imperatriz
1 : 0
Chapadinha
03 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 5

Cordino EC

(Away)
15 Jul
Araioses
2 : 0
Cordino EC
11 Jul
Cordino EC
1 : 1
Araioses
04 Jul
Cordino EC
2 : 2
Balsas
27 Jun
Timon EC (MA)
0 : 0
Cordino EC
13 Jun
Balsas
0 : 1
Cordino EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 9 4 1 27:9 31
2 Sampaio Correa 14 8 4 2 24:13 28
3 Imperatriz 14 7 4 3 17:12 25
4 Moto Club 14 4 5 5 15:20 17
5 Pinheiro 14 2 8 4 20:19 14
6 Tuntum 14 5 4 5 19:23 13
7 Chapadinha 14 2 3 9 11:23 9
8 Cordino EC 14 1 4 9 14:28 7
Promotion - Maranhense 2024 (Play Offs)