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Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Kaua Gabriel
67' Event
Marcio Vitor
79' Event
Ferreira T.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Chapecoense-SC U20 and Avai U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chapecoense-SC U20
20%
Draws
51%
Avai U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avai U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC U20 haven't matched Avai U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Avai U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC U20 Avai U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20
1:3
Jul 2, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
1:2
Apr 16, 2025 Brasileiro U20 B
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Avai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaua Gabriel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcio Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC U20 28 / 100
Avai U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC U20 Avai U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Avai U20 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Chapecoense-SC U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC U20 VS Avai U20
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Operario PR U20
3 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
08 Aug
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
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Avai U20

(Away)
14 Aug
Barra FC U20
1 : 0
Avai U20
07 Aug
Avai U20
0 : 1
Barra FC U20
01 Aug
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)