Sport Picks
Chapecoense-SC vs Athletico-PR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena Condá, Chapecó 
AI Match Summary
Chapecoense-SC host Athletico-PR in the Serie A Betano. Chapecoense-SC go into this one as the clear favorite. Athletico-PR have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Chapecoense-SC have conceded 1.68 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Athletico-PR slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Chapecoense-SC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Athletico-PR have won more games recently than Chapecoense-SC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapecoense-SC | Athletico-PR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletico-PR has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Chapecoense-SC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Chapecoense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chapecoense-SC
(Home)Athletico-PR
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 43 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 36 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
