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Stadium Background

Chapecoense-SC vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Arena Condá, Chapecó
Chapecoense-SC Logo

Chapecoense-SC

2 - 1
FT
Avai Logo

Avai

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Joao Bom
14' Event
Joao Bom
35' Event
Jamerson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chapecoense-SC
15%
Draws
39%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapecoense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC haven't matched Avai's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Avai arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chapecoense-SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Avai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Chapecoense-SC vs Avai
3:1
Jun 3, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Avai vs Chapecoense-SC
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Chapecoense-SC vs Avai
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Catarinense
Avai vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Avai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Bom
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rubens Ricoldi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamerson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 41 / 100
Avai 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chapecoense-SC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Chapecoense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Avai
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3
Bahia
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Avai

(Away)
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
Atletico GO
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
19 Aug
Avai
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)