Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Veliz A.
(Penalty)
19'
19'
Giovanni Augusto
Assist: Yago Felipe
42'
42'
Kauan
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Chapecoense-SC and Bahia finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bahia come out ahead of Chapecoense-SC on wins alone.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Bahia taking it.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapecoense-SC | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Bahia
3:3
Jul 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0
Oct 1, 2022 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Bahia
3:1
Jun 14, 2022 Serie B
Bahia vs Chapecoense-SC
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Chapecoense-SC
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chapecoense-SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Giovanni Augusto
1 Goals Assists Leader Marcinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Acevedo N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chapecoense-SC 28 / 100
Bahia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chapecoense-SC Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bahia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Chapecoense-SC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Bahia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Chapecoense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chapecoense-SC VS Bahia
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chapecoense-SC
(Home) 19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
02 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 0 Cruzeiro
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 3
Bahia
(Away) 20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
