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Chapecoense-SC vs Bragantino

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Condá
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Enio
19'
Sub
Rafael Thyere In: Joao Paulo
Out: Rafael Thyere
23' Event
Bolasie Y.
Assist: Bruno Pacheco

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Chapecoense-SC and Bragantino finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bragantino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Chapecoense-SC
11%
Draws
80%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bragantino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bragantino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bragantino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Bragantino
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Bragantino
1:2
Sep 11, 2021 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
May 30, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Bragantino
0:3
Nov 16, 2013 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Bragantino
1:1
Aug 24, 2013 Serie B
Bragantino vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolasie Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bragantino Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 13 / 100
Bragantino 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Bragantino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Bragantino let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chapecoense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Bragantino
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339