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Chapecoense-SC vs Brusque

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Arena Condá, Chapecó
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Joao Prado
38'
Ryan Santos
42'
Sub
Luizao In: Alex Paulino
Out: Luizao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chapecoense-SC
30%
Draws
41%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusque come out ahead of Chapecoense-SC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Brusque arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chapecoense-SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Brusque Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Brusque
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Catarinense
Chapecoense-SC vs Brusque
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Catarinense
Brusque vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Jan 6, 2026 Catarinense
Chapecoense-SC vs Brusque
1:1
Oct 6, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Brusque vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Chapecoense-SC vs Brusque
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Carlos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clar W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Brusque Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 32 / 100
Brusque 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chapecoense-SC scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Brusque has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chapecoense-SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Brusque
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3
Bahia
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
05 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
02 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 0
Cruzeiro
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Brusque

(Away)
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 1
Brusque 2
Criciuma 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2
Santa Catarina 1
Camboriu 3
Avai 2
Semi-finals
Brusque 1
Chapecoense-SC 3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4
Camboriu 1
Final
Chapecoense-SC 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 3