Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapecoense-SC vs Cruzeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Arena Condá, Chapecó
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC host Cruzeiro in the Serie A. Cruzeiro go into this one as the clear favorite. Chapecoense-SC have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.82 conceded recently, against Cruzeiro's 1.69 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Chapecoense-SC have won 0 to Cruzeiro's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Cruzeiro. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Chapecoense-SC
15%
Draws
68%
Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Cruzeiro have won more games recently than Chapecoense-SC.
  • Model gives Cruzeiro a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Cruzeiro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0
Aug 2, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Chapecoense-SC vs Cruzeiro
0:0
May 24, 2026 Serie A
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Serie B
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Cruzeiro
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 20 / 100
Cruzeiro 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Cruzeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Chapecoense-SC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Cruzeiro
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
03 Nov
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Mirassol
28 Oct
Bragantino
3 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
24 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 1
Fluminense
17 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro

(Away)
06 Nov
Cruzeiro
3 : 2
Bahia
29 Oct
Atletico-MG
0 : 1
Cruzeiro
23 Oct
Cruzeiro
1 : 0
Remo
18 Oct
Gremio
2 : 4
Cruzeiro
13 Oct
Bragantino
4 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)