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Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Condá
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC host Flamengo RJ in the Serie A Betano. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Flamengo RJ have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Chapecoense-SC have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Flamengo RJ slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2021, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Flamengo RJ. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chapecoense-SC
6%
Draws
90%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Flamengo RJ have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ
2:2
Jul 11, 2021 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Oct 6, 2019 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
May 12, 2019 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Sep 9, 2018 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 10 / 100
Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Flamengo RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chapecoense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Flamengo RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Flamengo RJ
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339