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Chapecoense-SC vs Fluminense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Condá, Chapecó
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC host Fluminense in the Serie A Betano. Fluminense go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Chapecoense-SC at 1.14 goals for, 1.66 against; Fluminense at 1.62 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Chapecoense-SC have won 0 to Fluminense's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Fluminense. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chapecoense-SC
20%
Draws
44%
Fluminense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense lately — more wins on the board than Chapecoense-SC.
  • Fluminense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Fluminense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Dec 10, 2021 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Chapecoense-SC
3:0
Sep 8, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Fluminense
1:2
Oct 26, 2019 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Jun 13, 2019 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Fluminense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 12 / 100
Fluminense 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Fluminense let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chapecoense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Fluminense
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense

(Away)
11 Oct
Flamengo RJ
1 : 0
Fluminense
09 Oct
Fluminense
4 : 0
Coritiba
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 30 19 7 4 58:25 64
2 Palmeiras 30 18 9 3 52:22 63
3 Fluminense 30 14 9 7 48:37 51
4 Athletico-PR 29 14 8 7 45:34 50
5 Bahia 30 13 10 7 44:36 49
6 Cruzeiro 29 14 6 9 44:40 48
7 Atletico-MG 30 13 8 9 41:35 47
8 Santos 30 11 9 10 46:45 42
9 Sao Paulo 30 11 6 13 35:35 39
10 Coritiba 29 10 8 11 37:47 38
11 Bragantino 29 10 7 12 34:33 37
12 Vitoria 30 10 6 14 33:44 36
13 Botafogo RJ 29 9 8 12 42:47 35
14 Vasco 29 9 8 12 36:42 35
15 Mirassol 30 8 9 13 34:44 33
16 Corinthians 30 8 8 14 31:38 32
17 Internacional 30 7 11 12 33:38 32
18 Gremio 30 7 10 13 32:40 31
19 Remo 30 5 10 15 33:48 25
20 Chapecoense-SC 28 3 9 16 29:57 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)