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Chapecoense-SC vs Gremio Maringa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1979
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 1979 game between Chapecoense-SC and Gremio Maringa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Maringa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Chapecoense-SC
35%
Draws
40%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gremio Maringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Maringa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gremio Maringa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 1979 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Gremio Maringa
2:3
May 24, 1978 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Gremio Maringa
0:0
Apr 2, 1978 Serie A Betano
Gremio Maringa vs Chapecoense-SC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 24 / 100
Gremio Maringa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Gremio Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Maringa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chapecoense-SC scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chapecoense-SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Maringa

(Away)
05 Oct
Gremio Maringa
3 : 0
City London
28 Sept
Gremio Maringa
1 : 1
CA Cambe
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0
Gremio Maringa
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colorado PR 9 4 4 1 10:6 12
2 Londrina 9 4 4 1 10:7 12
3 Anapolina 9 5 0 4 13:9 10
4 Joinville 9 4 2 3 12:8 10
5 EC Juventude 9 3 4 2 12:9 10
6 Sergipe 9 3 4 2 10:9 10
7 Novo Hamburgo 9 2 4 3 4:7 8
8 Goiania 9 2 3 4 6:9 7
9 Confianca 9 2 2 5 7:15 6
10 Avai 9 0 5 4 9:14 5
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Maringa 9 6 3 0 15:5 15
2 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 5 3 1 10:5 13
3 Brasil de Pelotas 9 2 7 0 9:4 11
4 Caldense 9 5 0 4 10:9 10
5 SC Sao Paulo 9 4 2 3 9:9 10
6 Criciuma 9 4 1 4 9:8 9
7 SER Caxias do Sul 9 3 3 3 11:6 9
8 Operario-PR 9 2 1 6 3:13 5
9 AA Colatina 9 1 3 5 2:9 5
10 Chapecoense-SC 9 0 3 6 6:16 3
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 5 2 2 14:9 12
2 Mixto 9 5 1 3 14:10 11
3 Comercial MS 8 4 2 2 14:10 10
4 Várzea Grande EC 9 4 2 3 12:11 10
5 Atletico GO 9 4 1 4 17:14 9
6 Itumbiara 9 4 1 4 11:11 9
7 Itabuna 9 3 3 3 10:8 9
8 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 5:6 9
9 Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:17 7
10 Guara 8 0 2 6 2:14 2
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 9 5 2 2 9:6 12
2 Villa Nova AC 9 5 2 2 9:6 12
3 America MG 8 5 1 2 12:7 11
4 Campinense 9 5 1 3 8:4 11
5 Botafogo PB 8 4 2 2 15:9 10
6 Treze PB 9 4 1 4 15:10 9
7 Tuna Luso 9 3 1 5 12:13 7
8 Paysandu PA 9 2 2 5 10:14 6
9 Fast Clube 9 2 2 5 9:20 6
10 Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 9 1 2 6 7:17 4
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 9 6 3 0 18:6 15
2 Uberaba 9 7 0 2 15:6 14
3 Central SC 9 4 3 2 13:8 11
4 Uberlandia 9 4 2 3 14:9 10
5 Nautico 9 4 2 3 11:10 10
6 Moto Club 9 3 1 5 6:10 7
7 River-PI 9 2 2 5 9:12 6
8 Sampaio Correa 9 2 2 5 7:16 6
9 Piaui 9 0 6 3 8:15 6
10 Tiradentes 9 1 3 5 7:16 5
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 9 5 2 2 14:8 12
2 ASA 9 5 1 3 11:10 11
3 Itabaiana 9 4 3 2 10:6 11
4 Leonico 9 5 0 4 12:8 10
5 ABC 9 4 2 3 13:10 10
6 CRB 9 3 3 3 8:8 9
7 Ferroviario 9 2 5 2 6:7 9
8 Potiguar de Mossoró 9 2 3 4 5:10 7
9 Fortaleza 9 2 2 5 7:12 6
10 America RN 9 2 1 6 5:12 5
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 9 6 3 0 18:5 15
2 America RJ 9 6 1 2 17:7 13
3 Operario MS 9 4 2 3 11:13 10
4 Gremio 9 4 1 4 14:8 9
5 Santa Cruz 9 3 3 3 12:8 9
6 Figueirense 9 2 4 3 7:8 8
7 Athletico-PR 9 2 4 3 8:9 8
8 Coritiba 9 2 3 4 6:14 7
9 Rio Branco ES 9 1 5 3 10:18 7
10 Sport Recife 9 1 2 6 5:18 4
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 9 5 3 1 21:9 13
2 Vila Nova FC 9 4 4 1 13:8 12
3 Goias 9 5 1 3 10:5 11
4 Atletico-MG 9 2 7 0 9:6 11
5 Dom Bosco 9 3 3 3 12:13 9
6 Ceara 9 3 2 4 18:19 8
7 Vitoria 9 2 4 3 10:11 8
8 Bahia 9 3 1 5 6:13 7
9 Remo 9 2 2 5 10:15 6
10 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 9 1 3 5 6:16 5
Promotion - Serie A 1979 (Second stage)