Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapecoense-SC vs Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Condá, Chapecó
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Bruno Henrique
Assist: Carbonero J.
42'
Rafael Lacerda
44'
Carbonero J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Chapecoense-SC and Internacional finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Internacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chapecoense-SC
15%
Draws
26%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapecoense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chapecoense-SC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Internacional here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Internacional Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Internacional
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Internacional
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0
Oct 10, 2021 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Chapecoense-SC
5:2
Jun 24, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Internacional
1:2
Sep 22, 2019 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio Garcez
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carbonero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 40 / 100
Internacional 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chapecoense-SC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Internacional has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Chapecoense-SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Internacional
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
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Internacional

(Away)
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)