Sport Picks
Chapecoense-SC vs Mirassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Arena Condá, Chapecó 
Match Events
12'
12'
Kauan
Assist: Giovanni Augusto
15'
15'
Bruno Pacheco
20'
20'
Reinaldo
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Chapecoense-SC and Mirassol finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mirassol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mirassol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mirassol come out ahead of Chapecoense-SC on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Mirassol taking it.
- Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Mirassol have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapecoense-SC | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Serie A
Chapecoense-SC vs Mirassol
1:2
May 10, 2026 Serie A
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Aug 5, 2024 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Mirassol
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Mirassol
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chapecoense-SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kauan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Mirassol Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chapecoense-SC 10 / 100
Mirassol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chapecoense-SC Mirassol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mirassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mirassol has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.
Attacking prowess: Chapecoense-SC scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chapecoense-SC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chapecoense-SC VS Mirassol
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chapecoense-SC
(Home) 03 Nov
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Mirassol
28 Oct
Bragantino
3 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
24 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 1 Fluminense
17 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Mirassol
24 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 1 Fluminense
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4 Athletico-PR
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 3
Mirassol
(Away) 03 Nov
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Mirassol
30 Oct
Corinthians
2 : 0 Mirassol
24 Oct
Mirassol
1 : 1 Sao Paulo
16 Oct
Mirassol
2 : 0 Internacional
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Mirassol
30 Oct
Corinthians
2 : 0 Mirassol
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1 Mirassol
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4 Mirassol
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
