Sport Picks
Chapecoense-SC vs Novorizontino
Brazil
Copa Sul-Sudeste Arena Condá, Chapecó 
Match Events
39'
39'
Diego Galo
42'
42'
Neto Pessoa
46'
46'
Sub
Joao Vitor In: Rafael Carvalheira
Out: Joao Vitor
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Novorizontino have won more games recently than Chapecoense-SC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Novorizontino arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Novorizontino, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapecoense-SC | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Chapecoense-SC vs Novorizontino
2:2
May 20, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Novorizontino vs Chapecoense-SC
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Novorizontino
1:0
Jun 6, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Novorizontino
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chapecoense-SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Neto Pessoa
1 Goals Assists Leader Rafael Carvalheira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Diego Galo
1 Goals Assists Leader Antony
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chapecoense-SC 33 / 100
Novorizontino 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chapecoense-SC Novorizontino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapecoense-SC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Novorizontino has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Chapecoense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chapecoense-SC VS Novorizontino
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chapecoense-SC
(Home) 19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
02 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 0 Cruzeiro
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 3
Novorizontino
(Away) 18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
16 Aug
CRB
0 : 0 Novorizontino
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Chapecoense-SC 4
Novorizontino 2
Avai 5
Volta Redonda 2
Final
Chapecoense-SC 3
Avai 4
