Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Condá, Chapecó
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC host Vasco in the Serie A Betano. Vasco go into this one as the clear favorite. Chapecoense-SC have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Vasco's 0.88 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Chapecoense-SC slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Vasco. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chapecoense-SC
35%
Draws
30%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco have won more games recently than Chapecoense-SC.
  • Model gives Vasco a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Vasco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Vasco
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco
0:0
Feb 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Jul 31, 2022 Serie B
Vasco vs Chapecoense-SC
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 29 / 100
Vasco 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Vasco has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Chapecoense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Vasco
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
Santos
2 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4
Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
07 Jun
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 1
Avai
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Vasco

(Away)
01 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Fluminense
29 Jul
Vasco
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin
25 Jul
Vasco
1 : 1
Mirassol
22 Jul
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Vasco
16 Jul
Vitoria
1 : 0
Vasco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 21 14 5 2 38:16 47
2 Flamengo RJ 20 11 6 3 37:18 39
3 Athletico-PR 21 11 4 6 28:19 37
4 Fluminense 21 9 7 5 30:25 34
5 Bahia 21 8 8 5 29:25 32
6 Bragantino 20 9 4 7 26:20 31
7 Cruzeiro 21 8 6 7 27:30 30
8 Botafogo RJ 20 8 5 7 34:32 29
9 Corinthians 21 7 8 6 22:20 29
10 Atletico-MG 20 8 4 8 25:25 28
11 Coritiba 21 7 6 8 25:28 27
12 Sao Paulo 20 7 5 8 25:23 26
13 Vitoria 21 7 5 9 22:31 26
14 Mirassol 20 6 5 9 23:27 23
15 Santos 20 5 7 8 29:33 22
16 Internacional 21 5 7 9 23:27 22
17 Gremio 20 5 7 8 22:26 22
18 Vasco 20 5 6 9 23:31 21
19 Remo 21 5 6 10 24:34 21
20 Chapecoense-SC 20 1 7 12 19:41 10
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)