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Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Arena Condá, Chapecó
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC host Vasco in the Serie A. This one's hard to separate. Chapecoense-SC have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Vasco's 1.29 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Vasco slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Vasco. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chapecoense-SC
15%
Draws
59%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vasco have won more games recently than Chapecoense-SC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Vasco
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Serie A
Vasco vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Jul 31, 2022 Serie B
Vasco vs Chapecoense-SC
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie A
Vasco vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Sep 14, 2019 Serie A
Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 32 / 100
Vasco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Vasco has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chapecoense-SC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Vasco
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
03 Nov
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Mirassol
28 Oct
Bragantino
3 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
24 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 1
Fluminense
17 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
08 Nov
Vasco
2 : 2
Palmeiras
04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3
Vasco
01 Nov
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Vasco
29 Oct
Vasco
1 : 4
Flamengo RJ
24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2
Corinthians
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)