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Chapelton vs Spanish Town Police

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
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Match Events

2' Event
Williams L.
15' Event
Campbell R.
30' Event
Williams L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Chapelton and Spanish Town Police finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chapelton
6%
Draws
4%
Spanish Town Police
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chapelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapelton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chapelton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chapelton here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 68%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapelton Spanish Town Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Spanish Town Police
6:2
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Chapelton
0:1
Sep 22, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Spanish Town Police
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Spanish Town Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliston J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapelton 95 / 100
Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapelton Spanish Town Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spanish Town Police let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Spanish Town Police registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chapelton's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chapelton VS Spanish Town Police
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapelton

(Home)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

Spanish Town Police

(Away)
06 May
Spanish Town Police
0 : 4
Racing United
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
23 Apr
Spanish Town Police
0 : 1
Portmore
20 Apr
Cavalier
3 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)