Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Chapulineros host Celaya in the Primera Premier. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Chapulineros have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Celaya's 1.97 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Chapulineros have won 0 to Celaya's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Celaya. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chapulineros haven't matched Celaya's recent run of results.
- Model gives Celaya a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapulineros | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapulineros scored in 60% of their last 25 games.
Celaya let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Chapulineros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chapulineros
(Home)Celaya
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cordobes FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 | Purepechas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 6 | Lobos ULMX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Los Cabos United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 8 | Tritones Vallarta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 9 | Zacatepec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Celaya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Montaneses | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 | Deportiva Venados | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Chapulineros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 8 | Pioneros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 9 | Tapachula | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
