Sport Picks
Chapulineros vs Celaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Primera Premier 
Match Events
63'
63'
Recalde B.
82'
82'
Resendiz T.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Premier game between Chapulineros and Celaya finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chapulineros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chapulineros haven't matched Celaya's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 10%
Celaya Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapulineros | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Primera Premier
Chapulineros vs Celaya
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Chapulineros
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chapulineros vs Celaya
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chapulineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Resendiz T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Celaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Recalde B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chapulineros 29 / 100
Celaya 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chapulineros Celaya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chapulineros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapulineros scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Chapulineros went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Celaya conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Chapulineros VS Celaya
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chapulineros
(Home) 24 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1 Montaneses
03 Oct
Tapachula
2 : 3 Chapulineros
26 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 3 Pioneros
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 1 Chapulineros
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1 Montaneses
26 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 3 Pioneros
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1 Celaya
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
Page 1 of 4
Celaya
(Away) 10 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 1 Celaya
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3 Celaya
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1 Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1 Celaya
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 1 Celaya
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3 Celaya
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1 Celaya
29 Aug
Pioneros
0 : 3 Celaya
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2 Celaya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Zacatepec | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 5 | Los Cabos United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Lobos ULMX | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 7 | Cordobes FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Tritones Vallarta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Pioneros | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 12 |
| 5 | Deportiva Venados | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 9 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 7 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 9 | Tapachula | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
