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Chapulineros vs Heroes de Zaci

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
51' Event
54' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Chapulineros and Heroes de Zaci finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heroes de Zaci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Chapulineros
35%
Draws
45%
Heroes de Zaci
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heroes de Zaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Heroes de Zaci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chapulineros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 13%
Heroes de Zaci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapulineros Heroes de Zaci
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Chapulineros vs Heroes de Zaci
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Heroes de Zaci vs Chapulineros
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapulineros 35 / 100
Heroes de Zaci 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapulineros Heroes de Zaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heroes de Zaci let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chapulineros scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Chapulineros remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapulineros VS Heroes de Zaci
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapulineros

(Home)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
05 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
5 : 1
Chapulineros
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
11 Apr
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

Heroes de Zaci

(Away)
19 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
15 Sept
Vaqueros
1 : 1
Heroes de Zaci
05 Sept
FC Santiago
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
10 Apr
Heroes de Zaci
1 : 0
Montaneses
05 Apr
Neza FC
0 : 6
Heroes de Zaci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)