Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapulineros vs Inter Playa Del Carmen

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Chapulineros Logo

Chapulineros

3 - 1
FT
Inter Playa Del Carmen Logo

Inter Playa Del Carmen

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gil I.
64' Event
Alavez L.
67' Event
Perez O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Chapulineros and Inter Playa Del Carmen finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapulineros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chapulineros
35%
Draws
26%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chapulineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chapulineros haven't matched Inter Playa Del Carmen's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Chapulineros taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 16%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapulineros Inter Playa Del Carmen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Premier
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chapulineros vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapulineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alavez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Inter Playa Del Carmen Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Cruz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapulineros 48 / 100
Inter Playa Del Carmen 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapulineros Inter Playa Del Carmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapulineros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapulineros scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chapulineros stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Inter Playa Del Carmen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapulineros VS Inter Playa Del Carmen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapulineros

(Home)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
05 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
5 : 1
Chapulineros
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
11 Apr
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Away)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)