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Chapulineros vs Montaneses

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Chapulineros Logo

Chapulineros

0 - 2
FT
Montaneses Logo

Montaneses

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Siqueiros C.
45' Event
Patjane F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montaneses in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montaneses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chapulineros
35%
Draws
37%
Montaneses
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montaneses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montaneses lately — more wins on the board than Chapulineros.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 12%
Montaneses Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapulineros Montaneses
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Chapulineros vs Montaneses
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Chapulineros
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapulineros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Montaneses Compare

Top Goalscorer Siqueiros C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patjane F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapulineros 30 / 100
Montaneses 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapulineros Montaneses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapulineros found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Montaneses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Chapulineros stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapulineros VS Montaneses
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapulineros

(Home)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
05 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
5 : 1
Chapulineros
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
11 Apr
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

Montaneses

(Away)
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
13 Sept
Montaneses
1 : 3
Racing de Veracruz
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3
Montaneses
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
10 Apr
Heroes de Zaci
1 : 0
Montaneses
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)