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Charleroi vs Genk

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Van Den Kerkhof K.
Assist: Scheidler A.
58'
Bernier A.
60'
Sub
Bibout A. In: Mirisola R.
Out: Bibout A.

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Charleroi
17%
Draws
13%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Genk have won more games recently than Charleroi.
  • Win probability leans Charleroi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 14%
Genk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Genk
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Genk
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Charleroi
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Genk
2:2
Sep 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Charleroi
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Genk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Den Kerkhof K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Genk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 66 / 100
Genk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Genk conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Charleroi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Genk
1.43 Goals Scored 1.88
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
08 Jul
Genk
2 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)