Sport Picks
Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction & H2H Stats
Belgium
Jupiler Pro League Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi 
Match Events
35'
35'
Ousou A.
Assist: Pflucke P.
62'
62'
Sub
Pflucke P. In: Mbemba F.
Out: Pflucke P.
65'
65'
Sub
Lohunanu-Mbasi M. In: Bafdili B.
Out: Lohunanu-Mbasi M.
AI Match Summary
The Jupiler Pro League game between Charleroi and KV Mechelen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charleroi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
20%
11%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charleroi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- KV Mechelen haven't matched Charleroi's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Charleroi's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 20%
KV Mechelen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleroi | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs KV Mechelen
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs Charleroi
1:0
Dec 4, 2025 Belgian Cup
Charleroi vs KV Mechelen
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs KV Mechelen
0:2
May 18, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs Charleroi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleroi Compare
Top Goalscorer Ousou A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Van Den Kerkhof K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
KV Mechelen Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleroi 85 / 100
KV Mechelen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleroi KV Mechelen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charleroi's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
KV Mechelen has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Charleroi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charleroi VS KV Mechelen
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleroi
(Home) 19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1 Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3 Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3 Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3 Royale Union SG
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1 Leuven
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 4
KV Mechelen
(Away) 19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0 KV Mechelen
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1 Anderlecht
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4 Westerlo
29 Aug
RAAL La Louviere
2 : 2 KV Mechelen
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0 KV Mechelen
29 Aug
RAAL La Louviere
2 : 2 KV Mechelen
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
09 Aug
Gent
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
25 Jul
Willem II
1 : 0 KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Gent | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Waregem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 7 | St. Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 9 | SK Beveren | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 9 |
| 11 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Lommel SK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 15 | Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Kortrijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)
