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Charleroi vs Leuven

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Charleroi host Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Leuven have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Charleroi have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Charleroi have won 2 to Leuven's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Charleroi to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Charleroi
30%
Draws
34%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Charleroi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Charleroi's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 12%
Leuven Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Leuven
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Leuven
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Charleroi
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Leuven
0:2
Jul 27, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Charleroi
2:2
May 24, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Leuven
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 35 / 100
Leuven 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Leuven conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Charleroi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Leuven
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
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Leuven

(Away)
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4
Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0
Leuven
18 Jul
Leuven
1 : 0
Lierse SK
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1
Lommel SK
11 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
Leuven
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antwerp00000:00
2Leuven00000:00
3Lommel SK00000:00
4Anderlecht00000:00
5Cercle Brugge00000:00
6Charleroi00000:00
7Club Brugge00000:00
8Genk00000:00
9Gent00000:00
10KV Mechelen00000:00
11St. Liege00000:00
12St. Truiden00000:00
13Waregem00000:00
14Westerlo00000:00
15Kortrijk00000:00
16Royale Union SG00000:00
17SK Beveren00000:00
18RAAL La Louviere00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)