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Charleroi vs SK Beveren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Charleroi host SK Beveren in the Jupiler Pro League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Charleroi at 1.67 goals for, 1.23 against; SK Beveren at 2.13 for, 1.53 against. Past meetings favor Charleroi slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2025, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.38, favoring Charleroi. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Charleroi
15%
Draws
21%
SK Beveren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SK Beveren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Charleroi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 17%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi SK Beveren
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.67 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Charleroi vs SK Beveren
4:1
Feb 20, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
SK Beveren vs Charleroi
1:1
Dec 2, 2020 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs SK Beveren
0:2
Nov 30, 2019 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs SK Beveren
2:0
Aug 31, 2019 Jupiler Pro League
SK Beveren vs Charleroi
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 84 / 100
SK Beveren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi SK Beveren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

SK Beveren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Charleroi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS SK Beveren
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
07 Nov
Westerlo
1 : 5
Charleroi
01 Nov
Charleroi
5 : 2
RAAL La Louviere
24 Oct
Antwerp
3 : 0
Charleroi
17 Oct
Renaissance Mons
0 : 1
Charleroi
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
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SK Beveren

(Away)
06 Nov
St. Liege
3 : 0
SK Beveren
31 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 2
Royale Union SG
24 Oct
Westerlo
4 : 4
SK Beveren
16 Oct
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Habay La Neuve
09 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 3
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)