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Charleroi vs St. Truiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Charleroi host St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Charleroi at 1.43 goals for, 1.21 against; St. Truiden at 1.93 for, 1.37 against. Head-to-head, Charleroi have won 3 to St. Truiden's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.56) point toward Charleroi. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Charleroi
15%
Draws
36%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Charleroi haven't matched St. Truiden's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on St. Truiden taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 15%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi St. Truiden
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Charleroi
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs St. Truiden
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs St. Truiden
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Charleroi
1:4
Dec 23, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Charleroi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 27 / 100
St. Truiden 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Truiden has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Charleroi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS St. Truiden
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
24 Oct
Antwerp
3 : 0
Charleroi
17 Oct
Renaissance Mons
0 : 1
Charleroi
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
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St. Truiden

(Away)
25 Oct
Club Brugge
3 : 2
St. Truiden
22 Oct
Midtjylland
0 : 1
St. Truiden
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
15 Oct
St. Truiden
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
11 Oct
KV Mechelen
4 : 3
St. Truiden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Gent 9 8 1 0 19:4 25
3 Royale Union SG 9 7 2 0 27:6 23
4 Charleroi 9 7 0 2 16:10 21
5 Anderlecht 9 5 1 3 9:10 16
6 Genk 9 4 3 2 18:13 15
7 Westerlo 9 4 2 3 24:21 14
8 Lommel SK 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
9 St. Liege 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
10 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
11 Antwerp 9 3 1 5 15:20 10
12 SK Beveren 9 3 1 5 12:18 10
13 St. Truiden 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
14 RAAL La Louviere 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 KV Mechelen 8 1 3 4 9:17 6
16 Leuven 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
17 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
18 Cercle Brugge 9 0 3 6 11:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)