Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charleroi vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

0 - 1
FT
Westerlo Logo

Westerlo

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Reynolds B.
41'
Camara E.
57'
Sub
Camara E. In: Khalifi Y.
Out: Camara E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Charleroi and Westerlo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Charleroi
15%
Draws
31%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Westerlo haven't matched Charleroi's recent run of results.
  • Charleroi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 16%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Westerlo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
2:0
May 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Piedfort A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 57 / 100
Westerlo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Westerlo let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Charleroi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Westerlo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
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Westerlo

(Away)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)