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Charleroi vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Reynolds B.
41'
Camara E.
57'
Sub
Camara E. In: Khalifi Y.
Out: Camara E.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Charleroi and Westerlo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Charleroi
17%
Draws
13%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Westerlo haven't matched Charleroi's recent run of results.
  • Charleroi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 20%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Westerlo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
2:0
May 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Piedfort A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 67 / 100
Westerlo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Westerlo let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Charleroi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Westerlo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
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Westerlo

(Away)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
18 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
12 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
Westerlo
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)