Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Patriots Point Soccer Complex

Charleston

Sat, Jul 11, 2026

2 - 3

11:30 PM

Charlotte Independence

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Foster M.

Assist: Berry M.

37'

Bakero J.

Assist: Marou S.

40'

Smith G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The USL Cup game between Charleston and Charlotte Independence finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte Independence.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Charleston

28%

Draws

22%

Charlotte Independence

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Charleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Charleston haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
Charleston are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Cup games in USL Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Charleston Clean Sheet 12%

Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Charleston	Charlotte Independence
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	13	16
Draws	3	3
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	2.88	2.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup

Charleston vs Charlotte Independence

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Mar 31, 2026 US Open Cup

Charlotte Independence vs Charleston

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly

Charleston vs Charlotte Independence

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Apr 25, 2023 US Open Cup

Charleston vs Charlotte Independence

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Oct 16, 2021 USL Championship

Charlotte Independence vs Charleston

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleston Compare

Top Goalscorer Foster M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Swan C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakero J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marou S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleston 47 / 100

Charlotte Independence 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Charleston Charlotte Independence

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte Independence let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Charleston scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Charleston remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Charleston VS Charlotte Independence

2.88 Goals Scored 2.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Spokane Velocity	4	3	1	6:6	9
2	Sacramento Republic	4	3	1	7:3	8
3	Athletic Club Boise	4	3	1	9:6	8
4	Oakland Roots	4	1	3	4:6	4
5	Las Vegas Lights	4	1	3	4:7	4
6	Monterey Bay	4	1	3	8:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado Springs	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	New Mexico	4	3	1	8:5	9
3	El Paso Locomotive	4	2	2	5:5	6
4	AV Alta FC	4	2	2	5:6	6
5	Phoenix Rising	4	1	3	3:8	3
6	Orange County SC	4	0	4	3:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Antonio FC	4	4	0	6:1	11
2	Birmingham Legion	4	3	1	8:3	9
3	One Knoxville	4	3	1	6:4	6
4	FC Tulsa	4	1	3	4:7	4
5	Corpus Christi FC	4	1	3	2:6	4
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	4	0	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	4	4	0	13:4	11
2	Detroit City	4	2	2	4:4	8
3	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	7:4	7
4	Lexington	4	2	2	8:8	6
5	Union Omaha	4	2	2	10:12	6
6	Forward Madison	4	1	3	6:10	3
7	Fort Wayne	4	0	4	6:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Hartford Athletic	4	3	1	8:3	10
2	Rhode Island	4	3	1	7:3	7
3	Brooklyn FC	4	2	2	9:5	7
4	Portland Hearts of Pine	4	2	2	7:10	6
5	New York Cosmos	4	1	3	5:11	4
6	Westchester SC	4	1	3	6:10	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	4	4	0	8:4	10
2	Charleston	4	3	1	9:4	9
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	4	2	2	6:3	8
4	Greenville Triumph	4	1	3	4:7	3
5	Loudoun United	4	1	3	4:7	3
6	Richmond Kickers	4	1	3	3:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	Miami FC	4	3	1	11:5	9
3	Sporting Jax	4	1	3	3:5	4
4	Sarasota Paradise	4	1	3	2:9	3
5	FC Naples	4	1	3	3:9	2