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Charleston vs Indy Eleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Charleston host Indy Eleven in the USL Championship. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Charleston at 1.97 goals for, 1.21 against; Indy Eleven at 1.28 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Charleston slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.06) back Charleston to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Charleston
20%
Draws
7%
Indy Eleven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Indy Eleven haven't matched Charleston's recent run of results.
  • Charleston are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Charleston here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Charleston Clean Sheet 20%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleston Indy Eleven
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Indy Eleven
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
1:3
Aug 2, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Indy Eleven
5:0
Apr 13, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleston 85 / 100
Indy Eleven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleston Indy Eleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleston's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Indy Eleven let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Charleston stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleston VS Indy Eleven
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleston

(Home)
17 Oct
Miami FC
1 : 2
Charleston
14 Oct
Hartford Athletic
1 : 1
Charleston
10 Oct
Charleston
0 : 2
Louisville City
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0
Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6

Indy Eleven

(Away)
17 Oct
Louisville City
4 : 1
Indy Eleven
10 Oct
Indy Eleven
1 : 3
Tampa Bay
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2
Miami FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 29 17 7 5 50:26 58
2 Charleston 29 15 5 9 55:35 50
3 Detroit City 29 14 8 7 34:21 50
4 Louisville City 28 12 7 9 49:43 43
5 Rhode Island 29 12 6 11 41:31 42
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29 12 6 11 31:29 42
7 Hartford Athletic 29 9 13 7 33:32 40
8 Miami FC 30 9 9 12 39:49 36
9 Indy Eleven 29 9 7 13 35:40 34
10 Loudoun United 29 5 13 11 34:45 28
11 Birmingham Legion 28 5 12 11 37:43 27
12 Brooklyn FC 28 5 6 17 30:57 21
13 Sporting Jax 28 3 5 20 32:74 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 29 15 5 9 48:37 50
2 New Mexico 29 14 7 8 44:34 49
3 Sacramento Republic 29 12 12 5 39:26 48
4 Lexington 29 14 5 10 54:36 47
5 Colorado Springs 29 12 8 9 42:38 44
6 FC Tulsa 29 11 10 8 34:29 43
7 San Antonio FC 29 10 12 7 30:29 42
8 Phoenix Rising 29 10 9 10 42:43 39
9 Orange County SC 29 10 9 10 38:47 39
10 Oakland Roots 29 9 11 9 37:37 38
11 Las Vegas Lights 29 10 6 13 40:46 36
12 Monterey Bay 29 5 6 18 30:51 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)