Sport Picks
Charleston vs Louisville City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC 
AI Match Summary
Louisville City in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louisville City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Louisville City lately — more wins on the board than Charleston.
- Model gives Charleston a 40% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Louisville City have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Charleston Clean Sheet 20%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleston | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Louisville City
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Charleston
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Charleston
4:1
Mar 9, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Louisville City
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Charleston
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleston 40 / 100
Louisville City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleston Louisville City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charleston's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Louisville City let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.
Charleston went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charleston VS Louisville City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleston
(Home) 26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
01 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 3
Louisville City
(Away) 04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
09 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
09 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
