Sport Picks
Charleston vs Monterey Bay
USA
USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC 
Match Events
41'
41'
Ross N.
46'
46'
Sub
Barajas F. In: Glasgow O.
Out: Barajas F.
58'
58'
Sub
Montes J. In: Canete F.
Out: Montes J.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Charleston and Monterey Bay finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charleston.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Charleston come out ahead of Monterey Bay on wins alone.
- Model gives Charleston a 58% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Charleston here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Charleston Clean Sheet 20%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleston | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Monterey Bay
1:0
May 30, 2024 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Charleston
0:0
May 20, 2023 USL Championship
Charleston vs Monterey Bay
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez Gonzalez C. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Monterey Bay Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleston 85 / 100
Monterey Bay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleston Monterey Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charleston's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Monterey Bay let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Charleston has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Monterey Bay has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charleston VS Monterey Bay
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleston
(Home) 26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
01 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 3
Monterey Bay
(Away) 27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
06 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
01 Aug
Lexington
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45:23 | 52 |
| 2 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29:19 | 41 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:31 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:28 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:43 | 30 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 31:69 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39:30 | 43 |
| 3 | Lexington | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46:32 | 40 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 33:22 | 40 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40:37 | 39 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 30:24 | 38 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:28 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35:38 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:46 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
