Sport Picks
Charleston vs Rhode Island Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC 
Match Events
41'
41'
Herivaux Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Herivaux Z. In: Bacharach Capdevila H.
Out: Herivaux Z.
47'
47'
Sanchez A.
AI Match Summary
Charleston in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleston.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Charleston lately — more wins on the board than Rhode Island.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Charleston taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Charleston Clean Sheet 68%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleston | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Rhode Island
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Charleston
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Rhode Island
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Charleston
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Rhode Island
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Ycaza E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Rhode Island Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleston 95 / 100
Rhode Island 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleston Rhode Island
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charleston scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Rhode Island has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Charleston has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Charleston VS Rhode Island
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleston
(Home) 26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
01 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 3
Rhode Island
(Away) 26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
