Sport Picks
Charlestown Azzurri vs Broadmeadow Magic FC
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Lisle Carr Oval, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
28'
28'
Papadimitrios R.
30'
30'
Lara L.
51'
51'
Palombini E.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Charlestown Azzurri and Broadmeadow Magic FC finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Broadmeadow Magic FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Broadmeadow Magic FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Broadmeadow Magic FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Broadmeadow Magic FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%
Broadmeadow Magic FC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlestown Azzurri | Broadmeadow Magic FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Broadmeadow Magic FC
3:5
Jun 15, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Broadmeadow Magic FC
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Broadmeadow Magic FC vs Charlestown Azzurri
3:2
Jul 28, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Broadmeadow Magic FC vs Charlestown Azzurri
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Broadmeadow Magic FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlestown Azzurri Compare
Top Goalscorer Papadimitrios R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martinelli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Broadmeadow Magic FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lara L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Palombini E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
Broadmeadow Magic FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlestown Azzurri Broadmeadow Magic FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Broadmeadow Magic FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Charlestown Azzurri found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Charlestown Azzurri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charlestown Azzurri VS Broadmeadow Magic FC
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlestown Azzurri
(Home) 15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
11 Jul
Cooks Hill United
4 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
24 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
24 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
14 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Lambton Jaffas FC
10 May
Charlestown Azzurri
3 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
Page 1 of 3
Broadmeadow Magic FC
(Away) 12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
28 Jun
Broadmeadow Magic FC
5 : 1 Weston Workers Bears
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
06 Jun
Valentine
1 : 1 Broadmeadow Magic FC
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
06 Jun
Valentine
1 : 1 Broadmeadow Magic FC
10 May
Charlestown Azzurri
3 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
03 May
Kahibah
1 : 3 Broadmeadow Magic FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 49:22 | 40 |
| 2 | Weston Workers Bears | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 36 |
| 3 | Maitland | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:28 | 33 |
| 4 | Belmont Swansea United | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40:30 | 32 |
| 5 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 26 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 35:30 | 22 |
| 8 | Valentine | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 9 | Newcastle Olympic | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 33:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 28:46 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 24:49 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)